
Dr. Isaac Ginis
University of Rhode Island
Professor of Oceanography
Publications
- Bender, M.A., T. Marchok, R. E. Tuleya, I. Ginis, V. Tallapragada, and S. J. Lord, 2019: Hurricane model development at GFDL, 2019: A Collaborative success story from a historical perspective., Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., September, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0197.1.
- Wang, D.*, T. Kukulka, B. Reichl, T. Hara, I. Ginis, and W. Perrie, 2019: Wind-wave misalignment effects on Langmuir turbulence in tropical cyclones conditions, J. Phys. Oceanogr., DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-19-0093.1.
- Torres M.J.*, M. R. Hashemi, S. Hayward, M. Spaulding, I. Ginis, and S. T. Grilli, 2019: Role of hurricane wind models in accurate simulation of storm surge and waves. Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2019, 145(1): 04018039. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000496.
- Ullman D.S., I. Ginis, W. Huang, C. Nowakowski*, X. Chen*, and P. Stempel, 2019: Assessing the Multiple Impacts of Extreme Hurricanes in Southern New England, USA. Geosciences 2019, 9(6), 265. DOI: 10.3390/geosciences9060265.
- Witkop, R., Becker, A., Stempel, P.*, Ginis, I. (2019). Developing Consequence Thresholds for Storm Models through Participatory Processes: Case Study of Westerly Rhode Island. Frontiers in Earth Science: Geohazards and Georisks. Vol. 7. DOI: 3389/feart.2019.00133.
- Gao K, and Ginis, 2018: On the characteristics of roll vortices under a moving hurricane boundary layer. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 2589-2598. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0363.1.
- Chen*, X., Ginis, and T. Hara, 2018: Sensitivity of offshore tropical cyclone wave simulations to spatial resolution in wave models. J. Mar. Sci. Eng., 6, 116. DOI: 10.3390/jmse6040116.
- Stempel, P.*, Ginis, I., Ullman, D., Becker, A., Witkop, R. (2018). Real-Time Chronological Hazard Impact Modeling. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol. 6, no. 134. DOI: 3390/jmse6040134.
- Teng, F., Huang, and I. Ginis, 2018. Hydrological modeling of storm-induced runoff and snowmelt in Taunton River Basin. Journal of Natural Hazards, 91, 179-199. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-3121-y.
- Gao, K., I. Ginis, J.D. Doyle, Y. Jin, 2017: Effect of boundary layer roll vortices on the development of the axisymmetric tropical cyclone J. Atmos. Sci. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-16-0222.1.
- Gao, K. and I. Ginis, 2016: On the equilibrium-state roll vortices and their effect in the hurricane boundary layer. J. Atmos. Sci., 1205- 1222. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0089.1.
- Reichl, B. G, D. Wang, T. Hara, I. Ginis, T. Kukulka, 2016: Langmuir turbulence parameterization in tropical cyclone conditions. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 46, 863-886. DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-15-0106.1.
- Reichl, B. G., I. Ginis, T. Hara, B, Thomas, T. Kukulka, and D. Wang, 2016: Impact of sea-state dependent Langmuir turbulence of the ocean response to a tropical cyclone. Mon. Wea. Rev. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0074.1.
Conference Papers, Presentations, Theses
- Xuanyu Chen Ph.D. Dissertation in Physical Oceanography: “Impacts of Shoaling Ocean Surface Waves on Wind Stress and Storm Surge” 2020, Primary advisors: Dr. Isaac Ginis and Dr. Tetsu Hara, Committee member: Dr. David Ullman
- Becker, A., Rubinoff, P., Stempel, P., Ginis, I., Adams, S.*, Hallisey, N.*, Kalaidjian, E.*, (2020) Hazard Consequence Threshold Models for Emergency Management and Response Decision Making. Natural Hazards Center Researchers Meeting, Boulder, CO, July 15-16.
- Stempel, P., (2020). “Adaptation of low-lying neighborhoods in Portsmouth, RI. USA.” International Geodesign Collaboration (IGC), Redlands, CA. February 22–24, 2020.
- Chen, X.*, I. Ginis and T. Hara: Numerical Study of Wind Stress in Coastal Water Under a Tropical Cyclone, Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 16-21, 2020, https://agu.confex.com/agu/osm20/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/644262.
- Hara T., X. Chen* and I. Ginis: Impact of Shoaling Wind Waves on Drag Coefficient in Finite Depth, Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 16-21, 2020, https://agu.confex.com/agu/osm20/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/646849.
- Becker, A., Rubinoff, P., Ginis, I., Adams, S.* (2019) Hazard Consequence Threshold Models for Emergency Management and Response Decision Making. Presentation to FEMA Region 1, Boston, MA, Dec. 18, 2019.
- Huang, W., F Teng, I. Ginis, and D. Ullman (2019). Rainfall Runoff and Flood Simulations for Hurricane Impacts on Woonasquatucket River, USA. ICCEN 2019. Accepted by 8th International Conference on Civil Engineering (ICCEN 2019), November 19-20, Paris, France, 2019.
- Becker, A. (2019), “Hazard Consequence Threshold Models for Emergency Management and Response Decision Making.” CARIS (Climate Adaptation and Resilience Information Sharing Group, Sept. 13, 2019.
- Becker, A. (2019), “Coastal Hazard Impact Assessment.” Climate Preparedness and Resilience Community of Practice Lead, CW Guidance Program US Army Corps of Engineers Headquarters, Washington, DC, Sept. 11, 2019.
- Ginis, I., and Il-K. Ma (2019): Impact of Warm-Core Ocean Eddies on Tropical Cyclone Intensification in the Northwest Pacific, International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interaction in the Northwest Pacific, June 20, 2019. http://www.tcoi.co.kr/
- Becker, A. (2019). Overcoming Barriers to Long-term Climate Adaptation. Lecture of Opportunity, US Naval War College, Newport, RI, April 29, 2019.
- Becker, A. (2019). Climate risk adaptation for ports: Research for transformational thinking. UNCTAD Ad Hoc Expert Meeting on Climate Change Adaptation for International Transport: Preparing for the Future , Geneva, Switzerland, April 16-17, 2019.
- Ginis I. (2019): Advancing modeling capabilities to improve prediction of extreme weather events in the Northeastern United States, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, April 11, 2019.
- Stempel, P., Becker., A., Ginis, I., Ullman, D., Rubinoff., P., Overstrom, N. (2019). Rethinking model-driven realistic storm-surge graphics. Rhode Island Coastal Ecology, Assessment, Innovation, and Modeling (RI C-AIM) Research Symposium 2019, Kingston RI. April 10, 2019.
- Ginis I. (2019): Modeling Combined Coastal and Inland Impacts from Extreme Storms, RI Department of Health, Providence RI, March 8, 2019.
- Ginis I. (2019): Improving Prediction of Extreme Weather and Its Impact in New England, RI Emergency Management Agency, Cranston RI, March 7, 2019.
- Becker, A, Stempel, P., Menendez, J. (2019). Visualizing Risk: Dynamic 3d Models of Storm Impacts on Coastal Structures In Rhode Island. Poster presentation at the Infrastructure Climate Network Meeting, Portsmouth, NH, April 4-5, 2019.
- Ginis, I., D. Ullman, T. Hara, W. Huang, A. Becker, and R. Luettich (2018): Developing a Coastal and Inland Hazard and Impact Prediction System for Extreme Weather Events in the Northeastern United States, AGU Fall Meeting, December 14, 2018. https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm18/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/409069
- Becker, A. (2018). Stimulating Transformational Thinking for Long-Term Climate Resilience. University of Rhode Island Coastal Resiliency Symposium, Oct. 16, 2018. Narragansett, RI. (I)
- Peter Stempel Ph.D. Dissertation in Marine Affairs: Depicting consequences of storm surge, opportunities and ethics. 2018, Primary advisor: Dr. Austin Becker, Committee member: Dr. Isaac Ginis.
- Stempel, P.*, Becker, A., (Accepted). Effects of localization on perceptions of storm surge risk depicted in model driven semi-realistic visualizations. International Conference on Sustainable Development, NY, NY. September 26-28, 2018.
- Stempel, P.*, Becker, A. (2018), Effects of localization on perceptions of storm surge risk depicted in model driven semi-realistic visualizations. International Conference on Sustainable Development, NY, NY. September 26-28, 2018.
- Ginis I. (2018): Advances in Predicting Hurricane Path and Intensity, Jamestown Philomenian Library, Jamestown RI, September 24, 2018.
- Ginis I. (2018): The 1938 Great New England Hurricane Looking to the Past to Understand Today’s Risk, East Greenwich Historic Preservation Society, East Greenwich, RI, September 15, 2018.
- Bobby Witkop Master’s thesis in Marine Affairs: Developing Consequence Thresholds for Storm Impact Models: Case Study of Westerly, Rhode Island. 2018, Primary advisor: Dr. Austin Becker, Committee member: Dr. Isaac Ginis
- Chen, X. *, I. Ginis and T. Hara (2018). Sea-State Dependent Drag Coefficient in Shallow Waters Under Tropical Cyclones. 21st Conference on Air-Sea Interaction, June 18, 2018. https://ams.confex.com/ams/23BLT21ASI/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/345222
- Nowakowski, C.* and Ginis I. (2018): Advancing modeling of surface winds during hurricane landfall for predicting storm impacts. DHS Centers of Excellence Summit, May 30-31, 2018 https://cina.gmu.edu/coe-summit-2018/
- Ginis, I., C. Nowakowski*, and K. Gao (2018). A Hurricane Boundary Layer Model for Simulating Surface Winds during Hurricane Landfall. 33rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, April 18, 2018. https://ams.confex.com/ams/33HURRICANE/webprogram/Paper339799.html
- Rosa, K.*, Kincaid, C. (2018). “Transporting Nutrients Northward from Rhode Island Sound Bottom Water to the Upper Narragansett Bay Euphotic Zone”, RI C-AIM/RI NSF EPSCoR Symposium. Kingston, RI, April 9, 2018.
- Witkop, R.*, Becker, A., Stempel, P.*, (2018). “Incorporating facility manager knowledge into storm impact models: A case study of critical facilities in Westerly, Rhode Island,” Rhode Island Floodplain Managers Association, Smithfield, RI, April 5, 2018.
- Chen, X.*, T. Hara, and I. Ginis (2018). Sea-state dependent air-sea momentum flux in a shallow water under a tropical cyclone. Ocean Sciences Meeting, February 14, 2018. https://agu.confex.com/agu/os18/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/303041
- Ginis, I., D. Ullman, T. Hara, C. Kincaid, K. Rosa*, X. Chen*, B. Thomas, A. Becker, P. Stempel*, R. Witkop*, P. Rubinoff, W. Huang, M. Orr, R. Thomas, R. Thompson, M. Belk, P. Morey, and S. Conard (2018). Advancing Modeling Capabilities and Impact Analysis Tools to Improve Preparedness for Major Hurricane Hazard Events. 98th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11, 2018. https://ams.confex.com/ams/98Annual/webprogram/Paper336049.html
- Ginis, I., D. Ullman, T. Hara, C. Kincaid, L. Rothstein, W. Hwang, B. Thomas, X. Chen*, K. Rosa*, A. Becker, P. Stempel*, R. Witkop*, P. Rubinoff (2017). Developing a mul.-model ensemble system for assessing hurricane hazards and impacts. URI Coastal Resilience Science and Engineering Workshop, December 4, 2017.
- Ullman, D., I. Ginis, W. Hwang, P. Stempel*, T. Hara, C. Kincaid, L. Rothstein, P. Rubinoff, B. Thomas, X. Chen*, K. Rosa* (2017). Assessing the Multiple Impacts of Extreme Hurricanes in Southern New England. URI Coastal Resilience Science and Engineering Workshop, December 4, 2017.
- Rosa, K. *, Kincaid, C., Ullman, D., and Ginis, I. (2017). Baroclinic Model of Narragansett Bay Post-Storm Shelf-Estuary Exchange. Estuary Research Workshop: Limiting Factors Beyond Nitrogen. Narragansett, RI. September 13, 2017.
- Rosa, K., Kincaid, C., Ullman, D., and Ginis, I. (2017). Hurricane Rhody: How does Rhode Island Fare Against Hypothetical Superstorm?. URI Graduate Conference. Kingston, RI. 8 April, 2017.
- Fei, T., W. Huang, I. Ginis, Y. Cai, 2016. Characteristics of River Flood and Storm Surge Interactions in a Tidal River in Rhode Island, USA. Proceeding of IUTAM Symposium on Storm Surge Modelling and Forecasting, Oct 17-19, 2016, Shanghai, China
- Stempel, P.* (2016). Data Driven Visualization. Estuarine and Coastal Modeling Conference 2016, Narragansett, RI, June 14-15, 2016.
Media Appearances
- New-found phenomenon that may improve hurricane forecasts
- Uptown Radio Broadcast April 3, 2020
- Future hurricane could loop around twice and make landfall twice in the U.S., causing catastrophic flooding and storm surges
- URI expert says RI should be ready for bigger storms
- Dorian could hit Florida as Category 3 hurricane – what’s next for RI?
- Local hurricane researcher says water temp. might strengthen Dorian
- Rising threat: Can Providence’s hurricane barrier withstand sea-level rise?
- Hurricane categories don’t tell the whole story
- ‘Monster’ storm: Hurricane Florence is a rare threat in an unusual location
- Hurricane Florence first to grow in strength so far north in Atlantic
- Hurricane Florence, ‘just a Cat 1,’ reveals flaw with Saffir-Simpson scale
- Oceanographer’s hurricane models deliver more precise forecasts
- URI oceanographer develops high-resolution hurricane model
- New hurricane guidance models being developed at URI
- URI researchers developing new hurricane forecast model
- Improved hurricane forecast models in development at URI
- Forecast is for fewer storms this year
- Experts: Cape Cod should prepare for the worst hurricanes
- URI hurricane expert Ginis builds models of high impact hurricane scenarios
- Understanding hurricanes – it takes one to know one